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From the Desk of Our CIO

Market Commentary: America’s Trade Imbalance

May 8, 2025
In the mid to late 1700’s, Britain became tea obsessed. The East India Company began importing tea from China, paying
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Market Commentary: Uncertainty – A Canadian Lumber Case Study

April 4, 2025
The US construction industry primarily relies on softwood lumber for building construction. Roughly 70% of this lumber is grown and
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Market Update: 4.3.25

April 3, 2025
Last night, President Trump invoked emergency powers to announce new global tariffs. The policy sets a minimum tariff of 10%
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Market Commentary: The Repositioning of the US Empire

March 10, 2025
In our commentaries we consistently wax poetic about America’s dominant global position. In our December 2020 commentary, “Is Our Empire
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Market Commentary: AI and Valuations

February 7, 2025
At Fountainhead, we actively integrate artificial intelligence (AI) into our operations. I consistently use it to edit correspondence, and we
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Market Commentary: How Future Innovations Will Drive Wealth

January 10, 2025
Happy New Year! The first successful cross-country road trip was taken by Dr. H. Nelson Jackson with his chauffeur, Sewall
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Market Commentary: The Economy and Inflation in a Second Trump Term

December 9, 2024
The US was, by many measures, the most powerful “empire” in history post-WWII. The US used their unparalleled global position
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Market Commentary: Broad Strokes on the US – China Relationship

November 8, 2024
I had the privilege of hearing a wonderful speaker recently who indirectly touched on a cornerstone of America’s fierce individuality.
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Market Commentary: The Fed “Eases” – Where Do We Go From Here?

October 9, 2024
In mid-September, the Federal Reserve Board (“Fed”) began an easing cycle, lowering the Federal Fund rate by 0.50%.1 The move
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Market Commentary: The Current And Future State Of Our Job Market

September 6, 2024
Our economy is heavily consumer driven. According to the World Bank, consumer expenditures account for 68% of our Gross Domestic
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The Deep Thought Commentary: Innovation + World Peace

August 7, 2024
August is traditionally a vacation month in America, a time when families travel together to enjoy new experiences and bring
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Market Update: 8.6.24

August 6, 2024
US markets (i.e., S&P 500) experienced their worst sell-off in roughly two years amid a global market sell-off. It is
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Market Commentary: Fun With Finance

July 11, 2024
Innovation is a theme we speak about a lot at Fountainhead. It is not merely exciting given new discoveries and
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Public Service Announcement: Exit Your I Bonds!

June 18, 2024
In November 2021, the market became aware of a way to capture enhanced, risk-free returns through a little-known government program
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Market Commentary: Political Angst: A Guide To The Markets Going Into Elections

June 7, 2024
On November 6, 2024, roughly 40% of the nation will wake up horrified because their preferred candidate lost the election.
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Maximizing Advisor Enterprise Value

May 25, 2024
With a significant number of advisors, roughly 37%1, positioned to retire within the next decade, the value of one’s financial
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Market Commentary: The Slow Aging Of America And Its Impact On Future Growth

May 2, 2024
Within both our recent commentaries and podcasts, we have focused quite a bit on the expectation and effects of US
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Market Commentary: The Effects Of Onshoring On The Us And Its Consumers

April 8, 2024
We are a consumer-led economy. And boy, do we do a good job consuming! As of 2022, the United States
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Market Commentary: Global Tremors: Optimism And Concerns

March 8, 2024
On a recent international trip, I watched Golda and All the President’s Men, two movies based on historical events that
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Market Commentary: Value, Trust, Bitcoin & Human Ingenuity

February 5, 2024
I remember visiting my uncle’s house in the early ‘90s and watching with fascination as my cousin, 15 years younger,
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Market Commentary: Inflation: Local And Global Factors – What Is In Store For 2024

January 5, 2024
Mongol Empire Khagan-Emperor Kublai Kahn wanted to be more like his dad and grandpa, Genghis Khan, spurring on wars that
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Market Commentary: Globalization, War, And Inflation

December 11, 2023
There has always been “international” trade of physical goods, knowledge, and concepts. Just two famous examples are the great library
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Market Commentary: Recessionary Winds

November 6, 2023
The job of the Federal Reserve (“Fed”) is to maintain a healthy and stable economy and financial system. Generally speaking,
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Market Commentary: Expensive Housing And Potential Consequences

October 6, 2023
The average purchase of a residential dwelling in the US consists of 20% down and 80% in loans[1], typically taken
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Market Commentary: What Is Going On In China?

September 8, 2023
The China – US relationship used to be quite simple: China produced anything and everything we wanted, cheaply and well-made.
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Market Commentary: How Is The Consumer Doing And Implications For The Economy

August 7, 2023
As the consumer goes, so goes the economy. A lot of attention has been justifiably spent on inflation, corporate health,
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Market Commentary: Inverted Yield Curve: Business Affects And Recessionary Record

July 10, 2023
Ever wonder how a yield on a loan is determined? Let’s say my neighbor thinks he has the best business
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Market Commentary: Are Us Debt Levels Too High?

June 5, 2023
The United States has thankfully diverted a default by raising our debt limit. Our national debt stood at $31.4 trillion,
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Market Commentary: De-Dollarization, Debt Defaults And Other Difficulties

May 8, 2023
A new world order was established with the conclusion of World War II (“WW II”), with America firmly set as
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Market Commentary: Bank Runs – More To Come Or Disaster Averted?

April 12, 2023
In one of the largest heists in history, Sir Francis Drake circumnavigated South America in the late 1570s and stole
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Market Commentary: Are Bond Yields Finally Getting Interesting? A Historical Perspective

March 7, 2023
When Paul Volcker took over as Fed Chair on August 6, 1979, he meant business. Two months later Mr. Volcker
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Market Commentary: Silly Predictions, Reasonable Trends And Short-Term Risks

February 2, 2023
Moore’s Law was actually a prediction, not a law as we tend to think of them. The long-term prediction was
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Market Commentary: How Yields Affect Literally Everything

January 17, 2023
One of the prevailing investment themes of 2022 was rising interest rates, and their impact on financial markets. To put
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Market Commentary: The Complexities Of Innovation: Ftx Vs. Quantum Computing

December 5, 2022
The spectacular descent of once prominent companies can surely grab media headlines and investor attention. Fraudulent blowups like Theranos and
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Market Commentary: Cpi – Same Data Through Three Different Lenses

November 7, 2022
Our analyst team was on a call recently where a well-respected (to us) manager thought inflation would remain heightened because
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Market Commentary: Making Sense Of Inflation, Fed Tightening, And Geopolitics

October 5, 2022
The Fed is attempting to knock down inflation – and there are signs that it is beginning to work –
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Market Commentary: The Longer-Term Rhythm And Consequences Of Globalization

September 7, 2022
Globalization as we know it seemed to have hit its peak around a decade ago. Global trade as a percentage
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Market Commentary: Why (And How) Are Gas Prices Down?

August 8, 2022
On June 14, the national average for regular unleaded gas was $5.016 per gallon. As of August 1, the average
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Market Commentary: Mental Gymnastics

July 18, 2022
The mind is a powerful thing. We have heard the saying, we know it to be true, and we can
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Mid-Month Market Commentary: A Three-Day 10%+ Drop… A U.S. Bear Market… Where Are We Now?

June 17, 2022
A surprise European Central Bank interest rate hike followed by a “bad” print on a closely watched inflation gauge created
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Market Commentary: How Long Will We Feel Covid Reverberations?

June 6, 2022
Throw a pebble in a still lake and you create a ripple. As one moves further from the center, the
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Market Commentary: ‘40S Or ‘70S – What’S The Better Comparison?

May 6, 2022
It was late 1940, some of the darkest days of the war for Great Britain. The Luftwaffe was indiscriminately bombing
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Market Commentary: Inflation, Invasion, Innovation!

April 16, 2022
In Smokey and the Bandit, Burt Reynolds wins a challenge by illegally taking alcohol over state lines in a big
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Market Commentary: Financial Implications Of The Russian Invasion Of Ukraine

March 4, 2022
First, our hearts go out to the 40 million plus citizens of Ukraine. It is impossible to imagine or feel
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Market Commentary: Readjusting The Lens In Looking Past Current Market Headwinds

February 4, 2022
The market has become quite complicated lately, with several negative events coming to the forefront of investors’ focus, muddling the
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Market Commentary: Where Are We Going? Disruption, Upheaval, Innovation!

January 14, 2022
A front-line chicken processing plant job is among the less desirable positions available. One must stand all day on an
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Market Commentary: Supply Chain Traffic Snarl Explained

December 3, 2021
The global supply chain has been built over the course of the last few decades to maximize profit through providing
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Market Commentary: Making Sense Of China: Buy Or Sell?

November 5, 2021
Alibaba (BABA), a Chinese company primarily focused on e-commerce, is frequently compared to Amazon (AMZN), an American company with a
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Advisor Coaching Call With Michael Silver

October 29, 2021
For this Advisor Coaching Call we will be discussing how to Segment Your Book to SCALE Your Business.
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Market Commentary: Recognizing And Combatting Biases In Investing

October 15, 2021
True story: A father and son are caught stealing a TV. There is no question they did it. The father
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Market Commentary: Jobs – All-Time High Job Openings Vs All-Time Low Job Participation: What Gives?

September 3, 2021
Serfdom in Europe was destroyed by the Plague. It was destroyed because there were too few serfs to do the
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Market Commentary: What Delta Means For The Market

August 6, 2021
New cases of Covid have unfortunately increased over the last few weeks as the Delta variant has become the dominant
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Market Commentary: How Do Markets Really Work?

July 15, 2021
It’s always a bit scary when going onto one of those travel sites, like Expedia, with the goal of booking
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Prospect Or Die

July 8, 2021
“If you’re not prospecting, you’re dying.” While a bit bold, that one liner mentioned in a recent Fountainhead sponsored webinar
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Market Commentary: Is Inflation Transitory? What We Learned From Used Cars

June 14, 2021
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Market Commentary: Timing The Top

May 12, 2021
In one of our first Explorations we had shared the following chart which illustrates that, at least historically, the longer
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Market Commentary: Declining Productivity?

April 28, 2021
How exactly is productivity defined and why has it been so lackluster as of late?
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Market Commentary: Exuberance? Mania? Our Takes On Gamestop, Dogecoin & Spacs

February 1, 2021
The first thing one learns in Economics is the Supply & Demand curve. It is so simple yet so powerful
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Market Commentary: The Us Treasury -Federal Reserve Connection & Associated Implications

January 1, 2021
Janet Yellen has made history. She is now the only person to serve as both the head of the Federal
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Market Commentary: Is Our Empire Crumbling?

December 15, 2020
Immediately following the end of World War II, the US dominated as no empire had in the history of empires.
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Market Commentary: Social Changes, Low Yields &The Effects On Growth Stocks

November 1, 2020
Thank God for technology. My children can attend school, socialize with friends, and waste away their days watching an infinite
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Market Commentary: Money! Wealth’S Greatest Creation

October 9, 2020
Money is a human convention. Populations need to be convinced one way or another that currency has value.
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Market Commentary: Covid Timeline And Implications

October 1, 2020
The good news is that 2020 is almost over. The bad news is that calendars are a human convention and
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Market Commentary: Is The Us Money Good?

August 26, 2020
America shut down for business rather quickly once it was evident that COVID was on our shores.
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Market Commentary: Tesla –Opportunity Or Bubble?

August 1, 2020
Tesla is a hot name for good reason. They are changing the world and hopefully for the better. They are
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Market Commentary: Market Risk Due Elections (Delay/Fraud Accusactions) Material

July 1, 2020
Over the last 10 days of July, President Trump warned 6 times that the election would be inaccurate and fraudulent
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Market Commentary: Are We Sweden? Continued Covid = Election Risk

May 1, 2020
After a ho-hum start, 2020 is turning out to be a historical year. Possibly one talked about for a long
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Market Commentary: Is The Public Health And Economic Policy Response Adequate?

April 1, 2020
Dring up Avenue of the Americas there is no traffic, almost no people beyond sporadic groups waiting on food lines
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Market Commentary: Covid-19 (Coronavirus): Current And Future Implications

April 1, 2020
COVID-19 (Coronavirus): Current and Future Implication
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Covid-19 (Coronavirus) Update

February 25, 2020
On Monday, February 24, world markets took a large one day hit due to fears that COVID-19 would become a
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Market Commentary: Company Valuations In Context To Covid-19

February 1, 2020
Having issued a COVID-19 Update just last week and with everyone in the world laser-focused on the spread and immediate
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Market Commentary: Longer Term Effects Of The Virus And How Far We Have Come

January 1, 2020
Will the Coronavirus have the ability to trigger a global economic slowdown resulting in a dip in financial markets?
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