From the Desk of Our CIO
Market Commentary: Uncertainty – A Canadian Lumber Case Study
April 4, 2025The US construction industry primarily relies on softwood lumber for building construction. Roughly 70% of this lumber is grown and
Market Update: 4.3.25
April 3, 2025Last night, President Trump invoked emergency powers to announce new global tariffs. The policy sets a minimum tariff of 10%
Market Commentary: The Repositioning of the US Empire
March 10, 2025In our commentaries we consistently wax poetic about America’s dominant global position. In our December 2020 commentary, “Is Our Empire
Market Commentary: AI and Valuations
February 7, 2025At Fountainhead, we actively integrate artificial intelligence (AI) into our operations. I consistently use it to edit correspondence, and we
Market Commentary: How Future Innovations Will Drive Wealth
January 10, 2025Happy New Year! The first successful cross-country road trip was taken by Dr. H. Nelson Jackson with his chauffeur, Sewall
Market Commentary: The Economy and Inflation in a Second Trump Term
December 9, 2024The US was, by many measures, the most powerful “empire” in history post-WWII. The US used their unparalleled global position
Market Commentary: Broad Strokes on the US – China Relationship
November 8, 2024I had the privilege of hearing a wonderful speaker recently who indirectly touched on a cornerstone of America’s fierce individuality.
Market Commentary: The Fed “Eases” – Where Do We Go From Here?
October 9, 2024In mid-September, the Federal Reserve Board (“Fed”) began an easing cycle, lowering the Federal Fund rate by 0.50%.1 The move
Market Commentary: The Current And Future State Of Our Job Market
September 6, 2024Our economy is heavily consumer driven. According to the World Bank, consumer expenditures account for 68% of our Gross Domestic
The Deep Thought Commentary: Innovation + World Peace
August 7, 2024August is traditionally a vacation month in America, a time when families travel together to enjoy new experiences and bring
Market Update: 8.6.24
August 6, 2024US markets (i.e., S&P 500) experienced their worst sell-off in roughly two years amid a global market sell-off. It is
Market Commentary: Fun With Finance
July 11, 2024Innovation is a theme we speak about a lot at Fountainhead. It is not merely exciting given new discoveries and
Public Service Announcement: Exit Your I Bonds!
June 18, 2024In November 2021, the market became aware of a way to capture enhanced, risk-free returns through a little-known government program
Market Commentary: Political Angst: A Guide To The Markets Going Into Elections
June 7, 2024On November 6, 2024, roughly 40% of the nation will wake up horrified because their preferred candidate lost the election.
Maximizing Advisor Enterprise Value
May 25, 2024With a significant number of advisors, roughly 37%1, positioned to retire within the next decade, the value of one’s financial
Market Commentary: The Slow Aging Of America And Its Impact On Future Growth
May 2, 2024Within both our recent commentaries and podcasts, we have focused quite a bit on the expectation and effects of US
Market Commentary: The Effects Of Onshoring On The Us And Its Consumers
April 8, 2024We are a consumer-led economy. And boy, do we do a good job consuming! As of 2022, the United States
Market Commentary: Global Tremors: Optimism And Concerns
March 8, 2024On a recent international trip, I watched Golda and All the President’s Men, two movies based on historical events that
Market Commentary: Value, Trust, Bitcoin & Human Ingenuity
February 5, 2024I remember visiting my uncle’s house in the early ‘90s and watching with fascination as my cousin, 15 years younger,
Market Commentary: Inflation: Local And Global Factors – What Is In Store For 2024
January 5, 2024Mongol Empire Khagan-Emperor Kublai Kahn wanted to be more like his dad and grandpa, Genghis Khan, spurring on wars that
Market Commentary: Globalization, War, And Inflation
December 11, 2023There has always been “international” trade of physical goods, knowledge, and concepts. Just two famous examples are the great library
Market Commentary: Recessionary Winds
November 6, 2023The job of the Federal Reserve (“Fed”) is to maintain a healthy and stable economy and financial system. Generally speaking,
Market Commentary: Expensive Housing And Potential Consequences
October 6, 2023The average purchase of a residential dwelling in the US consists of 20% down and 80% in loans[1], typically taken
Market Commentary: What Is Going On In China?
September 8, 2023The China – US relationship used to be quite simple: China produced anything and everything we wanted, cheaply and well-made.
Market Commentary: How Is The Consumer Doing And Implications For The Economy
August 7, 2023As the consumer goes, so goes the economy. A lot of attention has been justifiably spent on inflation, corporate health,
Market Commentary: Inverted Yield Curve: Business Affects And Recessionary Record
July 10, 2023Ever wonder how a yield on a loan is determined? Let’s say my neighbor thinks he has the best business
Market Commentary: Are Us Debt Levels Too High?
June 5, 2023The United States has thankfully diverted a default by raising our debt limit. Our national debt stood at $31.4 trillion,
Market Commentary: De-Dollarization, Debt Defaults And Other Difficulties
May 8, 2023A new world order was established with the conclusion of World War II (“WW II”), with America firmly set as
Market Commentary: Bank Runs – More To Come Or Disaster Averted?
April 12, 2023In one of the largest heists in history, Sir Francis Drake circumnavigated South America in the late 1570s and stole
Market Commentary: Are Bond Yields Finally Getting Interesting? A Historical Perspective
March 7, 2023When Paul Volcker took over as Fed Chair on August 6, 1979, he meant business. Two months later Mr. Volcker
Market Commentary: Silly Predictions, Reasonable Trends And Short-Term Risks
February 2, 2023Moore’s Law was actually a prediction, not a law as we tend to think of them. The long-term prediction was
Market Commentary: How Yields Affect Literally Everything
January 17, 2023One of the prevailing investment themes of 2022 was rising interest rates, and their impact on financial markets. To put
Market Commentary: The Complexities Of Innovation: Ftx Vs. Quantum Computing
December 5, 2022The spectacular descent of once prominent companies can surely grab media headlines and investor attention. Fraudulent blowups like Theranos and
Market Commentary: Cpi – Same Data Through Three Different Lenses
November 7, 2022Our analyst team was on a call recently where a well-respected (to us) manager thought inflation would remain heightened because
Market Commentary: Making Sense Of Inflation, Fed Tightening, And Geopolitics
October 5, 2022The Fed is attempting to knock down inflation – and there are signs that it is beginning to work –
Market Commentary: The Longer-Term Rhythm And Consequences Of Globalization
September 7, 2022Globalization as we know it seemed to have hit its peak around a decade ago. Global trade as a percentage
Market Commentary: Why (And How) Are Gas Prices Down?
August 8, 2022On June 14, the national average for regular unleaded gas was $5.016 per gallon. As of August 1, the average
Market Commentary: Mental Gymnastics
July 18, 2022The mind is a powerful thing. We have heard the saying, we know it to be true, and we can
Mid-Month Market Commentary: A Three-Day 10%+ Drop… A U.S. Bear Market… Where Are We Now?
June 17, 2022A surprise European Central Bank interest rate hike followed by a “bad” print on a closely watched inflation gauge created
Market Commentary: How Long Will We Feel Covid Reverberations?
June 6, 2022Throw a pebble in a still lake and you create a ripple. As one moves further from the center, the
Market Commentary: ‘40S Or ‘70S – What’S The Better Comparison?
May 6, 2022It was late 1940, some of the darkest days of the war for Great Britain. The Luftwaffe was indiscriminately bombing
Market Commentary: Inflation, Invasion, Innovation!
April 16, 2022In Smokey and the Bandit, Burt Reynolds wins a challenge by illegally taking alcohol over state lines in a big
Market Commentary: Financial Implications Of The Russian Invasion Of Ukraine
March 4, 2022First, our hearts go out to the 40 million plus citizens of Ukraine. It is impossible to imagine or feel
Market Commentary: Readjusting The Lens In Looking Past Current Market Headwinds
February 4, 2022The market has become quite complicated lately, with several negative events coming to the forefront of investors’ focus, muddling the
Market Commentary: Where Are We Going? Disruption, Upheaval, Innovation!
January 14, 2022A front-line chicken processing plant job is among the less desirable positions available. One must stand all day on an
Market Commentary: Supply Chain Traffic Snarl Explained
December 3, 2021The global supply chain has been built over the course of the last few decades to maximize profit through providing
Market Commentary: Making Sense Of China: Buy Or Sell?
November 5, 2021Alibaba (BABA), a Chinese company primarily focused on e-commerce, is frequently compared to Amazon (AMZN), an American company with a
Advisor Coaching Call With Michael Silver
October 29, 2021For this Advisor Coaching Call we will be discussing how to Segment Your Book to SCALE Your Business.
Market Commentary: Recognizing And Combatting Biases In Investing
October 15, 2021True story: A father and son are caught stealing a TV. There is no question they did it. The father
Market Commentary: Jobs – All-Time High Job Openings Vs All-Time Low Job Participation: What Gives?
September 3, 2021Serfdom in Europe was destroyed by the Plague. It was destroyed because there were too few serfs to do the
Market Commentary: What Delta Means For The Market
August 6, 2021New cases of Covid have unfortunately increased over the last few weeks as the Delta variant has become the dominant
Market Commentary: How Do Markets Really Work?
July 15, 2021It’s always a bit scary when going onto one of those travel sites, like Expedia, with the goal of booking
Prospect Or Die
July 8, 2021“If you’re not prospecting, you’re dying.” While a bit bold, that one liner mentioned in a recent Fountainhead sponsored webinar
Market Commentary: Timing The Top
May 12, 2021In one of our first Explorations we had shared the following chart which illustrates that, at least historically, the longer
Market Commentary: Declining Productivity?
April 28, 2021How exactly is productivity defined and why has it been so lackluster as of late?
Market Commentary: Exuberance? Mania? Our Takes On Gamestop, Dogecoin & Spacs
February 1, 2021The first thing one learns in Economics is the Supply & Demand curve. It is so simple yet so powerful
Market Commentary: The Us Treasury -Federal Reserve Connection & Associated Implications
January 1, 2021Janet Yellen has made history. She is now the only person to serve as both the head of the Federal
Market Commentary: Is Our Empire Crumbling?
December 15, 2020Immediately following the end of World War II, the US dominated as no empire had in the history of empires.
Market Commentary: Social Changes, Low Yields &The Effects On Growth Stocks
November 1, 2020Thank God for technology. My children can attend school, socialize with friends, and waste away their days watching an infinite
Market Commentary: Money! Wealth’S Greatest Creation
October 9, 2020Money is a human convention. Populations need to be convinced one way or another that currency has value.
Market Commentary: Covid Timeline And Implications
October 1, 2020The good news is that 2020 is almost over. The bad news is that calendars are a human convention and
Market Commentary: Is The Us Money Good?
August 26, 2020America shut down for business rather quickly once it was evident that COVID was on our shores.
Market Commentary: Tesla –Opportunity Or Bubble?
August 1, 2020Tesla is a hot name for good reason. They are changing the world and hopefully for the better. They are
Market Commentary: Market Risk Due Elections (Delay/Fraud Accusactions) Material
July 1, 2020Over the last 10 days of July, President Trump warned 6 times that the election would be inaccurate and fraudulent
Market Commentary: Are We Sweden? Continued Covid = Election Risk
May 1, 2020After a ho-hum start, 2020 is turning out to be a historical year. Possibly one talked about for a long
Market Commentary: Is The Public Health And Economic Policy Response Adequate?
April 1, 2020Dring up Avenue of the Americas there is no traffic, almost no people beyond sporadic groups waiting on food lines
Market Commentary: Covid-19 (Coronavirus): Current And Future Implications
April 1, 2020COVID-19 (Coronavirus): Current and Future Implication
Covid-19 (Coronavirus) Update
February 25, 2020On Monday, February 24, world markets took a large one day hit due to fears that COVID-19 would become a
Market Commentary: Company Valuations In Context To Covid-19
February 1, 2020Having issued a COVID-19 Update just last week and with everyone in the world laser-focused on the spread and immediate
Market Commentary: Longer Term Effects Of The Virus And How Far We Have Come
January 1, 2020Will the Coronavirus have the ability to trigger a global economic slowdown resulting in a dip in financial markets?